The story is as old as time, the song as old as the rhyme: “Brady will fail this year.”
Like Samuel L.Jackson’s character, Jules, at the end of “Pulp Fiction,” people have been saying bad things for years, but year after year, Brady rejects come out of the woods to spew out bad luck. the most despicable and disrespectful nonsense. Whether it’s Max Kellerman and “cliff theory“In 2016, or Miami Dolphins allegedly picked Ryan Fitzpatrick surpassing Brady in 2020, the three-time MVP has continued to defy expectations at every step. But, hey, a year after he led the league in yards, touchdowns and finishes, all coming in second in the MVP vote, THIS will be the season we see the decline!
According to Caesars Sportsbook content editor Max Meyer, the Buccaneers’ under 11.5 win is the biggest losing bet at Caesar’s with 87.8% of bettors believing Brady won’t hit 12 wins by 2022 .
OK, so let’s break this down to the basics. The first thing I want to note is that Brady is so confident in his abilities that he ready to go to Miami Dolphins, who are said to be a worse receiving corps, definitely a worse offensive line, definitely a worse defense, definitely in a tougher division, and have a training rookie chief – all 45. Yes, I know he wants to be with his family, but Brady wants to win, too. He likes to win and he’s willing to give up a team he won the Super Bowl to play with objectively worse behavior at a harder tournament. That should tell you everything you need to know about confidence in his abilities this season.
That’s just Brady. There are other factors involved in how well a team will do in the upcoming season. Clearly, the Buccaneers are worse off than they were a year ago. The team caught off guard Alex Cappa, keeper Ali Marpet, tight guard Rob Gronkowski, and wide receiver Antonio Brown, and there’s a good chance wide ball receiver Chris Godwin will miss time as well as him. tear the ACL. There were also injury concerns with Tristan Wirfs’ left tackle after he had to go through ankle surgery in playoffs last year. The Bucs may not be able to replace all of those losses, but the additions of Russell Gage and Julio Jones mitigate the potential damage in the wide pick, and second-round rookie guard Luke Goedeke is also hoping to. improve any gaps that may remain. when Marpet is retired. There are still some holes, but nothing is irreparable as long as injuries don’t wreak havoc on the team’s talent.
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The defense is more or less the same. Sure, the absence of Jordan Whitehead will hurt, especially after the epic bump he showed last year, but again, it’s not a loss the Bucs can’t get over.
Now let’s think about their schedule. The Bucs will have eight games against playoff teams from 2021 this season (Cowboys, Bengals, 49ers, Cardinals, Rams, Packers, Chiefs and Steelers). While only four of those games will be at home, four will be against the Cowboys, Steelers, 49ers and Cardinals – arguably the four worst teams on this list. I also don’t think it’s an exaggeration to say that each of these teams (besides the 49ers) have been worse off in the season. Plus, the Cardinals game is coming in December. “Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2” drops in late October, so we know. Kyler Murray won’t reach his full potential.
Even so, the Buccaneers also have some other tough games, especially against Ravens, Browns, and Saints. Apparently, the Bucs and Saints would go home and go home together because they were in the same department. As for the Browns and Ravens, the Bucs face Baltimore in a short week (Thursday Night Football), but the game will be in Tampa. We don’t know who the Browns quarterback will be when the Bucs face Cleveland in Cleveland, but even if Deshaun Watson is able to feature in this game, it will face an upcoming Bucs team last week. They will be fresh and relaxing. Meanwhile, the Browns will play in the game against Buffalo. They can be beaten pretty hard.
Sure, the Saints might have Brady’s number. So let’s assume the Saints win both of those games. Brady also struggled at the beginning of the season, right? So let’s assume he draws 2-2 to start the season. The Bucs will beat the Falcons, Steelers, and Panthers. Let’s say they lose to Raven and Rams. That was four defeats, with a fifth against the Saints three weeks later. They’re going to beat the Seahawks, maybe beat the Browns with everything I said in the previous paragraph (also a great match because the Bucs’ defense is being hampered on the run), lose to the Saints and beat the 49ers (unless Trey Lance blows) foreign expectations), then they had two tough games against the Bengals and Cardinals before finishing the season against the Panthers and Falcons. By my estimation, the floor for the Buccaneers is 10-7, a game and a half lower than the upper deck set at Caesar. Let’s say they beat The Saints once this year, though (which I don’t think is impossible). They can beat the Cardinals anyway. They can also beat the Bengals, Rams and Packers. They can go as high as 14-3, two and a half games higher than where the upper door is located.
I can’t guarantee that the Bucs will win 12 or more games next season. Like I said, I can see them going as low as 10-7. However, with 87.8% of bettors thinking the Buccaneers won’t win 12 games or more, that means the Bucs are in a much worse position now than they were a year ago. During his two years in Florida, the Bucs’ worst record was 11-5. That was in a 16-game season. Chances are they won 12 if they play on a 17-match schedule in 2020.
I think 11.5 wins is a solid place to put the upper hand on the Bucs’ winning total in 2022. That said, I would expect the split to be closer to 50-50 in this regard, no must be close to 90-10 that we present. see. Brady has never faltered in the past, and while that day will eventually come, what has he done to make us assume it will come this year?
