When odds providers offer NBA totals futures, most casual fans immediately scan to their team over/under and say, “My team is better than that.” After so long and misleading about people in this profession to make a living by their work, the next move is to find out the franchises they hate and detest about the overblown franchise.
How exaggerated the numbers are is up for debate – punters love the Knicks, Lakers and leads – so allow me to sift through the noise and help you find the real you. how crazy. Apologies now if I didn’t touch a team you hate. No one is arguing harshly about the Clippers and Nuggets other than their supporters debating why the local fan base is so indifferent to their legitimacy.
The answers to those questions are the Lakers and Broncos, but the answer to how wrong predictions are for the teams you love to hate (or, yes, love) is a bit more complicated. So entertain me as I try to be smart and break it down for you.
Allowed odds of Vegas Insider.
Brooklyn Nets (45.5) Under
Don’t underestimate how childish Kevin Durant can use. He’s just watched James Harden hiss in two franchises – one of which KD is starring – and teammate Ben Simmons teasing his way onto his roster. Owner Joe Tsai can try all he wants to win a gazing contest with a brazen kid, but this isn’t chess, checkers, or anything like that. .
It’s a 3-year-old melting down in the middle of a toy store. There’s no winning that battle, and if Durant is willing to tank, sit out, or otherwise self-sabotage the season, how much faith are we putting in Kyrie Irving and Ben Simmons? One guy wants his own team, and the other wants, I don’t know, mood crystals or some shit. The Nets won 44 games a year ago, and it’s entirely possible they’ll be without their best player. Never mind the fact that any respect Steve Nash had in the locker room is now gone after KD pulled his endorsement.
Los Angeles Lakers (45.5) Under
The only consistently healthy “star” is one the Lakers are desperately trying to trade. Rob Pelinka hasn’t come off this desperate since his “People tell me I look like Rob Lowe” pick-up stopped working. Those 20-somethings in West Hollywood haven’t seen “Parks and Rec,” Rob, so stop asking. Last year was objectively a disaster, and it’s hard to argue anything has improved. Russell Westbrook is still there, LeBron James turns 38 in December, and Anthony Davis is going on 30 while his body is about to turn 58.
New coach Darvin Ham is going to run violation through AD, which has never happened in the history of LeBron or Westbrook. If everything goes according to plan – with LeBron and Westbrook discovering selves beyond their ball and Davis finding the source of their tenacity – sure enough, they’ll go through 45 wins. On an unrelated note, if my fantasy dreams come true, aggregated content will become the new podcast and many news outlets will enter a bidding war for my services.
Golden State Warriors (51.5) Above
We’re really doing this, guys? Are we really going to take down the defending champions? They have 53 wins in 2021-22, and Klay Thompson is a year healthier, Jonathan Kuminga is a year older, and Steph Curry is a year younger. No one expected James Wiseman to be the player the hypeters thought he would be. However, there was no pressure that he had to transform into Joel Embiid overnight. All Steve Kerr needed to do was highlight his strengths, and let the 7-foot, 240-pound man become Kevon Looney’s version of the rich/team – who also upgraded to his satisfaction. his agreement with Dubs.
Like Looney’s free management company, Andrew Wiggins, Draymond Green and Jordan Poole will be looking for new deals next season, so as long as they don’t distract this year, a Warriors team is welcome. Fully stocked will achieve the best record in the West. Fifty-one and a half wins is disrespectful, and rallying opponents always welcome momentum. Their playstyle is also immune to diversion, the biggest potential risk (aside from injury) to another great season.
Boston Celtics (55.5) Unders
I’ll let the Cs show me they can exceed expectations before betting on them to do so. The last time Vegas set sky-high hopes for Boston was 2018 when bettors pushed their pre-season win total to nearly 60. They finished the season with 49 wins and were thrashed by Milwaukee easy, 4-1, in the second round. No team in the East won more than 53 games last year, and it’s expected to be a competitive grand slam once again.
Malcolm Brogdon will help avoid retracement if he can stay healthy, and Danilo Gallinari adds extra depth to a team that can use it. Ime Udoka essentially adopted an eight-man rotation when the Celtics went to hell last year, and if that version returns, it will promote a seed if not run away with it. However, there is something about Boston that makes me uncomfortable. Jaylen Brown doesn’t seem to like getting caught up in commercial rumors, Marcus Smart rambles like it’s never going to fall, 36-year-old Al Horford, and Jayson Tatum finally have to maintain their breakout. The lofty overall win and appearance in last year’s Finals also take away any poor quality they had in them last year.
Philadelphia 76ers (49.5) Above
I regret my #1 reason for making this prediction before I wrote it: Harden is on a one-year contract. The Beard loves the regular season and regularly racks up more than 50 wins in Houston. We know he’s not that player anymore, but he has enough (probably too much) left to easily take Embiid and Philly past the 50-win mark. Harden will be stretched and his weight relatively low to try to get one last bag.
As long as Nikola Jokić wins MVP and another playoff disappointment doesn’t break Embiid, he’ll be back in MVP form once again. This season also sets up for a potentially violent punch in the stomachs of Sixers fans. It’s not that they aren’t used to being knocked over by the wind at this point – and I just can’t shake the image of Embiid crying with joy after the MVP presentation, and then sobbing in frustration as Harden scrolls. round to the fetal position in the Eastern Conference Finals.
New York Knicks (39.5) Under
I can do this depending on Mitchell staying in Utah. (Vegas seems to think Mitchell’s time in Utah was short, or Rudy Gobert’s 16.5 wins as 32.5 seems low even if they’ve lost their All-Star center.) Regular players didn’t revolt until his sophomore year under Tom Thibodeau, so there’s a chance the native New Yorkers inject some life into a squad already exhausted by the sound of Thibs’. That said, no one wants to read a writer who hides his temper for more than 1,000 words.
Regardless of whether New York compromises rebuilding Mitchell or not, the Knicks are still without a win in 40 games. Every 5 to 10 years, the team overworks and people overreact to the energy from the Garden. That playoff win over Atlanta was not an ECF appearance. Calm. Julius Randle was on a hearth, the teams took him seriously/seriously with his brother-really-trying-against-brother and strangled it real quick. The team had trouble impersonating Jalen Brunson, and if that’s not a sign that the Knicks are still firmly established as the Knicks, trading all they spent in exchange for a star scorer, no never played defensively.