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Kentucky Derby Best Bets: Looking at the rest of the pitch, now Forte is out


The first Saturday of May is clearly necessary, when the Rolling Stones sing in Dead flowers, “bet on the Kentucky Derby.” The iconic horse race will be held at Louisville’s Churchill Downs for the 149th year in a row.

But even the Stones know that you don’t always get what you want. After three scratches on Thursday and another Friday morning – plus a game against Derby favorite Forte on Saturday morning – the field for three-year-olds is now 18.

With so many thoroughbreds going for the first time a mile and a half, deciphering how a Derby will play out is a huge challenge. Last year’s race saw Rich Strike enter the field from the roster that also qualified the day before and then caused a huge disappointment at 80-1 odds. The payouts do not seem to be very lucrative in this version, but aggressive betting should be considered for the following horses:

UPDATE: Forte, the favorite in the Kentucky Derby, was scratched during the race Saturday morning after suffering a bruise on his leg.

Dreadful favorite: Number 15 Forte (3-1 on Friday morning)

Breeders’ Cup Minor in November, Forte is attempting to join Street Sense (2006) and Nyquist (2015) as the only horses to go on to catch the Derby. Though he’s won each of his two races since then, his Beyer Speed ​​Stat has dropped from 100 to 98 to 95. One can wonder if he’s slow down or not, but we won’t know because the Forte is scratched.

Class opponent: No. 14 Angel of Empire (8-1)

Speed ​​numbers are trending in reverse for Angel of Empire, who most recently hit 94 while racing in the Arkansas Derby. With the exception of one of his turf races last year, he has improved in every start and has won four. Jockey Flavien Prat has also performed well in his previous five Kentucky Derbys, finishing four with money.

Unprecedented troublemaker: Number 17 Derma Sotogake (10-1)

No international horse has ever won a Derby, but Derma Sotogake has a legitimate chance to be the first. The Japanese pony gave a visually impressive performance in the United Arab Emirates Derby and its speed numbers in that race will be higher than those of the other participants. on Saturday. Equestrian Christophe Lemaire rode that day and will attempt to make history in his second Kentucky Derby.

Council Bomb: No. 11 Disarm (30-1)

Although he has not won any of his three races this year (twice finishing second and third), Disarm has always taken the place and can be Forgive me if I don’t catch the winner. Reports of his training at Churchill indicate that he was sharp and looked great. He will need to go one step further in the Derby, but bringing back Joel Rosario as his driver will help.

Wise bets

Since there isn’t much of a difference between horses in this area, it might make a case for some others. Number 3 Two Phil’s, No. 5 Tapit TriceAnd Hero No. 22 in Mandarin has the most appeal and any combination of the seven mentioned can be used on the correct ticket and the three part ticket. One potential betting strategy is to try to beat the popular Forte by placing Angel of Empire and Derma Sotogake at the top of your exotic games.

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