Entertainment

First Reading After THR’s Nomination for Context – The Hollywood Reporter


PLEASE NOTE: This forecast, assembled by hollywood reporterthe award’s executive editor, Scott Feinbergreflects Feinberg’s best attempt at predicting the behavior of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, Not his personal preferences. He obtained these rankings by consulting voters and industry insiders, analyzing marketing campaigns and awards, the results of awards ceremonies that took place before the Oscars, and the history of the Oscars itself.

*BEST PHOTO*

Expected order of completion
first. Everything Anywhere All At Once (Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert & Jonathan Wang)
2. Fabelman’s house (Kristie Macosko Krieger, Tony Kushner & Steven Spielberg) — podcast (Spielberg)
3. Top Gun: Maverick (Jerry Bruckheimer, Tom Cruise, David Ellison & Christopher McQuarrie) — podcast (Bruckheimer)
4. Elvis (Gail Berman, Baz Luhrmann, Catherine Martin, Pamela McCormick & Schuyler Weiss)
5. All is quiet on the Western front (South Grunert)
6. Inisherin’s Banshees (Graham Broadbent, Peter Czernin & Martin McDonagh)
7. tar (Todd Field, Scott Lambert & Alexandra Milchan)
8. Avatar: The Road of Water (James Cameron & Jon Landau)
9. Sad triangle (Philppe Bober & Erik Hemmendorff)
ten. women talking (Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner & Frances McDormand)

*Best Director*

1. Steven Spielberg (Fabelman’s house) – audio file
2. Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert (Everything Anywhere All At Once)
3. Martin McDonagh (Inisherin’s Banshees)
4. Todd Field (tar)
5. Ruben Ostlund (Sad triangle)

*Best Actor*

Expected order of completion
1. Austin butler (Elvis)
2. Brendan Fraser (Whale)
3. Colin Farrell (Inisherin’s Banshees)
4. Bill Nighy (Life)
5. Paul Mescal (sundown)

*BEST WOMAN AGENT*

Expected order of completion
1. Duong Tu Quynh (Everything Anywhere All At Once) – audio file
2. Cate Blanchett (tar) – audio file
3. Michelle William (Fabelman’s house) – audio file
4. Ana de Armas (Yellow)
5. Andrea Riseborough (To Leslie)

*Best Supporting Actor*

Expected order of completion
1. Ke Huy Quan (Everything Anywhere All At Once)
2. Brendan Gleeson (Inisherin’s Banshees)
3. Judd Hirsch (Fabelman’s house)
4. Brian Tiree Henry (causeway)
5. Barry Keoghan (Inisherin’s Banshees)

*BEST WOMEN*

Expected order of completion
1. Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda forever)
2. Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Anywhere All At Once)
3. Stephanie Hsu (Everything Anywhere All At Once) – audio file
4. Hong Chau (Whale)
5. Kerry Condon (Inisherin’s Banshees)

* BEST ADJUSTED SCENE *

Expected order of completion
first. All is quiet on the Western front (Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson & Ian Stokell)
2. women talking (Sarah Polley)
3. Life (Kazuo Ishiguro) — podcast
4. Glass onion: The mystery of cutlery (Rian Johnson)
5. Top Gun: Maverick (Ehren Kruger, Christopher McQuarrie & Eric Warren Singer)

* BEST ORIGINAL SCENE *

Expected order of completion
first. Everything Anywhere All At Once (Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert)
2. Sad triangle (Ruben Ostlund)
3. Fabelman’s house (Tony Kushner & Steven Spielberg) — podcast (Spielberg)
4. Inisherin’s Banshees (Martin McDonagh)
5. tar (Todd School)

* BEST ANIMATION FEATURES *

Expected order of completion
first. Pinocchio by Guillermo del Toro (Alex Bulkley, Guillermo del Toro, Mark Gustafson & Gary Ungar) — podcasts 1 and 2 (del Toro)
2. turn red (Lindsey Collins & Domee Shi)
3. Marcel the Shell with shoes on (Dean Fleischer, Andrew Goldman, Elisabeth Holm, Caroline Kaplan & Paul Mezey)
4. The Cat Goes Out: The Last Wish (Joel Crawford & Mark Swift)
5. Sea monster (Jed Schlanger & Chris Williams)

* BEST DOCUMENTATION FEATURES *

Expected order of completion
first. navy (Diane Becker, Shane Boris, Melanie Miller, Odessa Rae & Daniel Roher)
2. All beauty and bloodshed (Howard Gertler, Nan Goldin, Yoni Golijov, John Lyons & Laura Poitras)
3. the flame of love (Shane Boris, Sara Dosa & Ina Fichman)
4. All those breaths (Teddy Leifer, Aman Mann & Shaunak Sen)
5. The house made of scraps (Monica Hellström & Simon Lereng Wilmont)

*BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURES*

Expected order of completion
first. All is quiet on the Western front (Germany) — Edward Berger
2. EO (Poland) — Jerzy Skolimowski
3. Argentina, 1985 (Argentina) — Santiago Mitre
4. Close (Belgium) — Lukas Dhont
5. Quiet girl (Ireland) — Colm Bairéad

*BEST MOVIE*

Expected order of completion
first. Elvis (Mandy Walker)
2. All is quiet on the Western front (Friend James)
3. tar (Florian Hoffmeister)
4. Light Empire (Roger Deakins)
5. Bardo, The False Chronicle of a Few Truths (Darius Khondji)

* BEST APPARATUS DESIGN *

Expected order of completion
first. Elvis (Catherine Martin)
2. Everything Anywhere All At Once (Shirley Kurata)
3. Black Panther: Wakanda forever (Ruth E. Carter) — podcast
4. Babylon (Mary Zophres)
5. Mrs. Harris arrives in Paris (Jenny Beavan)

*BEST MOVIE EDITION*

Expected order of completion
first. Everything Anywhere All At Once (Paul Rogers)
2. Top Gun: Maverick (Eddie Hamilton)
3. Elvis (Matt Villa & Jonathan Redmond)
4. Inisherin’s Banshees (Mikkel EG Nielsen)
5. tar (Monika Willi)

* BEST MAKEUP & HAIR *

Expected order of completion
first. Elvis (Jason Baird, Mark Coulier & Aldo Signoretti)
2. Whale (Anne Marie Bradley, Judy Chin & Adrien Morot)
3. All is quiet on the Western front (Linda Eisenhamerova & Heike Merker)
4. Black Panther: Wakanda forever (Friends Camille & Joel Harlow)
5. Batman (Naomi Donne, Mike Fontaine & Mike Marino)

*BEST ORIGINAL PRICE*

Expected order of completion
first. Babylon (Justin Hurwitz)
2. Fabelman’s house (John William)
3. Everything Anywhere All At Once (Lux paint)
4. All is quiet on the Western front (Volker Betelmann)
5. Inisherin’s Banshees (Carter Burwell)

* BEST ORIGINAL SONG *

Expected order of completion
1. “Naatu Naatu” (RRR) — Chandrabose & MM Keeravaani
2. “Lift Me Up” (Black Panther: Wakanda forever) — Ryan Coogler, Ludwig Göransson, Rihanna & Tems
3. “Hold My Hand” (Top Gun: Maverick) — BloodPop & Lady Gaga — podcast 1 and 2 (Gaga)
4. “This Is Life” (Everything Anywhere All At Once) — David Byrne, Ryan Lott & Mitski — podcast (Byrne)
5. “Applause” (Talk to it like a woman) — Diane Warren — podcast 1, 2 and 3

* BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN *

Expected order of completion
first. Elvis (Bev Dunn, Catherine Martin & Karen Murphy)
2. All is quiet on the Western front (Christian M. Goldbeck & Ernestine Hipper)
3. Babylon (Anthony Carlino & Florencia Martin)
4. Fabelman’s house (Rick Carter & Karen O’Hara)
5. Avatar: The Road of Water (Dylan Cole, Vanessa Cole & Ben Procter)

*BEST SOUND*

Expected order of completion
first. Elvis (Michael Keller, David Lee, Andy Nelson & Wayne Pashley)
2. Top Gun: Maverick (Chris Burdon, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Mark Taylor & Mark Weingarten)
3. All is quiet on the Western front (Lars Ginzel, Stefan Korte, Frank Kruse, Viktor Prášil & Markus Stemler)
4. Avatar: The Road of Water (Dick Bernstein, Christopher Boyes, Michael Hedges, Julian Howarth, Gary Summers & Gwendolyn Yates Whittle)
5. Batman (William Files, Douglas Murray, Andy Nelson & Mark Weingarten)

*Best visual effects*

Expected order of completion
first. Avatar: The Road of Water (Richard Baneham, Daniel Barrett, Joe Letteri & Eric Saindon)
2. Top Gun: Maverick (Scott R. Fisher, Seth Hill, Bryan Litson & Ryan Tudhope)
3. All is quiet on the Western front (Markus Frank, Kamil Jafar, Viktor Müller & Frank Petzoid)
4. Black Panther: Wakanda forever (Geoffrey Bauman, Craig Hammack, San Sudick & R. Christopher White)
5. Batman (Russell Earl, Anders Langlands, Dan Lemmon & Dominic Tuohy)

*BEST Animated Short Film*

Expected order of completion
first. Boy, Mole, Fox and Horse (Matthew Freud & Charlie Mackesy)
2. An ostrich told me the world is fake and I think I believe it (Lachlan Pendragon)
3. My five dicks (Sara Gunnarsdottir & Pamela Ribbon)
4. flying sailor (Amanda Forbis & Wendy Tilby)
5. Ice merchant (Bruno Caetano & Joao Gonzalez)

*BEST SHORT DOCUMENTS*

Expected order of completion
first. Stranger at the gate (Conall Jones & Joshua Selfel)
2. The Martha Mitchell Effect (Anne Alvergue & Beth Levison)
3. How do you measure a year? (Jay Rosenblatt)
4. Elephant whispers (Kartiki Gonsalves & Guneet Monga)
5. Take it out (Maxim Arbugaev & Evgenia Arbugaeva)

*BEST LIVE SHORT*

Expected order of completion
first. Le Hoc Tro (Alfonso Cuarón & Alice Rohrwacher) — podcasts 1 and 2 (Cuarón)
2. Red suitcase (Cyrus Neshvad)
3. Goodbye to the Irish (Tom Berkeley & Ross White)
4. Go night (Gaute Lid Larssen & Eirik Tveiten)
5. Ivalu (Rebecca Pruzan & Anders Walter)

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